Inaguration Streaming Live

Friday, October 24, 2008

Sitcoms for Obama

Calvin Rees at Demokie found several great Obama related videos. I'm probably going to feel compelled to show 3 of them here at some point, but here's the first.

If you are under 40, I'm not sure how much this is going to mean to you...



My 13yo at least recognized the Fonz; I think from the Family Guy references.

Vote Absentee



Just a reminder that everyone reading this need to submit your request for an absentee ballot Today! It needs to be in the hands of the County Election Board by Wednesday. Also get everyone you know to do the same. Remember that every vote cast for Obama by mail this year is potentially two votes for him; the one you send in and the one someone else will get a chance to cast on Tuesday because you shortened the line by one more person.

My instructions for the process are here. Please email the link to everyone you know.

Electoral College Update

I know I just did this back on Monday, but we are getting down to the wire here, and things actually are changing.

There has been a lot of the talk in the media about "tightening", and it is showing up in most of the electoral college counting polls. However, everyone still has Obama past the number of votes needed to win. To give you a sense of the direction and speed of things, I'll use the common shorthand of putting Monday's numbers in parentheses. Remember that a presidential win requires 270 electoral votes.

Pollster shows some tighening with Obama at 306(315) electoral vote to 157(157) for McCain. Rasmussen also shows it slightly tightened to 286(305) to 174(174). CNN is unchanged (perhaps unupdated) at 277(277) to 174(174). The statistical site FiveThirtyEight on the other hand has Obama's lead growing to 354.4(343.9) to 183.6(194.1). Note that these electoral counts tend to follow behind poll trends by several days. FiveThirtyEight mostly doesn't have that problem, as he reanalyzes polling numbers every day as they come in. That's probably the reason his is going a different direction, although it could also be due to the fact that he doesn't leave any state out as a "tossup".