In case you missed it (like you were stuck in a closet last night or something), here's Obama's infomercial
Thursday, October 30, 2008
Tomorrow - First Day of Voting
If you missed yesterday's deadline to request an Absentee Ballot, than you are going to have to go vote the old-fashioned way: in person.
The good news is that the first day you can do that is not November 4, but rather tomorrow, October 31. That is the first day of early voting in Oklahoma. The other days are Saturday, November 1, and Monday November 3 (the day before the general election).
Early Voting does work a bit differently than regular voting. You do not go to your normal polling place. Instead you must show up at your County Election Board sometime between 8AM and 6PM. The Tulsa area election board offices are:
- Tulsa County: 555 N Devner Avenue.
View Larger Map - Osage County: 630 Kihekah Ave., Pawhuska
View Larger Map - Creek County - 230 E. Hobson Ave., Sapulpa
View Larger Map - Rodgers County - 216 S. Missouri Ave., Claremore
View Larger Map - Wagoner County - 208 N Lee Ave., Wagoner
View Larger Map
There is no guarantee that the lines won't be as long on early voting days as they will be for the general election, so budget yourself an hour or so, particularly in Tulsa County. However, if one of these days is better for you than Tuesday, this is when you want to vote.
I sent in my absentee ballot yesterday, so I can tell you from experience that getting the actual voting behind you removes a bit of the stress. So vote early if you can.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Absentee - Last Day
This is the last day you can request an Absentee ballot in Oklahoma. We are requesting that everyone vote this way this year, in order to free up line space. This will be particularly important for working folk, those with small children, and those who can't stand in line for hours due to physical infirmity. However, the request needs to be in your county election board's hands today!
Download and print out the request from from the state board of elections website.
Complete the form, and fax it in (or hand-carry it) to your county board of elections. The area Fax numbers are.
- Tulsa County - 596-5775 (Closes at 5PM)
- Osage County - 587-4820 (Closes at 4PM)
- Creek County - 227-6332 (Closes at 5PM)
- Rodgers County - 341-4666 (Closes at 5PM)
- Wagoner County - 485-8063 (Closes at 4:30PM)
A couple of days after you do this, you will receive your ballots in the mail. Mrs. Mule and I both have already received our ballots and marked them. I'm sending mine in today, and hers goes in Friday.
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Electoral College Update
It has been more than a week again since I last went over this. News has just been too heavy to have time to revisit the Electoral College since then. Obviously that isn't going to happen again this cycle though. So from now until this time next week I'll try to put the FiveThirtyEight map at the top of all the morning posts.
There has been even more talk about tightening in the general election polling. For example, Gallup shows Obama's lead down to 5 points with a week to go.
What you don't seem to hear as much is that when you split the polls by state and look at the electoral college counts, Obama's lead is not narrowing. Pollster has it at 306(315) to 142(157), Rasmussen has it at 313(305) to 174(174) and CNN now has it at 277 to 174 (same). (Last report's numbers in parentheses). The statistics-based site FiveThirtyEight is actually seeing Obama's lead starting to widen. He now places it at 351.1(343.9) to 186.9(186.9).
Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight explains:
Yes, you saw that right, Oklahoma is moving in Obama's direction. Here's the pollster graph.
It's still pretty far away from being competitive. However, there's a week left for it to keep going that direction, and I personally think this state is liable to be greatly affected by both new voters and a strong Reverse Bradley effect come election day. Something amazing could very well happen here.
In order to help this process along, I'd like to request everyone please request an absentee ballot today. This is the last day, so I highly suggest you either fax in your request, or hand-carry it to the office.
There has been even more talk about tightening in the general election polling. For example, Gallup shows Obama's lead down to 5 points with a week to go.
What you don't seem to hear as much is that when you split the polls by state and look at the electoral college counts, Obama's lead is not narrowing. Pollster has it at 306(315) to 142(157), Rasmussen has it at 313(305) to 174(174) and CNN now has it at 277 to 174 (same). (Last report's numbers in parentheses). The statistics-based site FiveThirtyEight is actually seeing Obama's lead starting to widen. He now places it at 351.1(343.9) to 186.9(186.9).
Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight explains:
If the state polls aren't showing movement toward McCain, then it is probably the case that any perceived movement in the national polls is sampling noise. If anything, in fact, the state polls are showing movement toward Obama on balance, not just in battleground states like Virginia, but also in non-battlegrounds as diverse as New York, Oklahoma, Oregon and Arizona.
Yes, you saw that right, Oklahoma is moving in Obama's direction. Here's the pollster graph.
It's still pretty far away from being competitive. However, there's a week left for it to keep going that direction, and I personally think this state is liable to be greatly affected by both new voters and a strong Reverse Bradley effect come election day. Something amazing could very well happen here.
In order to help this process along, I'd like to request everyone please request an absentee ballot today. This is the last day, so I highly suggest you either fax in your request, or hand-carry it to the office.
Monday, October 27, 2008
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